Obviously, the 15-point lead Obama had in the Newsweek poll was an outlier. He’s got a smaller lead, but it doesn’t seem to be shrinking.
And why is this week the week that “pocketbook issues” are most relevant? Do we expect gas prices will no longer be a problem in two months? With almost 5 months to go, Obama is working on his foreign policy “cred.” An overseas trip for a prez campaign has to be planned out a bit in advance, as well, so it’s not like they woke up Monday and said, “let’s ignore the economy.” I won’t even mention the polling that shows Obama already “owns the issue” of the economy, with a WIDE lead.
You really shouldn’t be putting much weight into national polls right now. Here’s where it’s at in predicting what will happen. Nate rocks!
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
Comment by bones — July 16, 2008 #
And if you must put so much importance into national polling, at least use the poll of polls:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html
Obviously, the 15-point lead Obama had in the Newsweek poll was an outlier. He’s got a smaller lead, but it doesn’t seem to be shrinking.
And why is this week the week that “pocketbook issues” are most relevant? Do we expect gas prices will no longer be a problem in two months? With almost 5 months to go, Obama is working on his foreign policy “cred.” An overseas trip for a prez campaign has to be planned out a bit in advance, as well, so it’s not like they woke up Monday and said, “let’s ignore the economy.” I won’t even mention the polling that shows Obama already “owns the issue” of the economy, with a WIDE lead.
Comment by Jason — July 16, 2008 #
The five thirty eight link guy is wrong too, and nothing Newsweek does is credible.
Are these the same polls and methods used to tell us that Kerry was going to win in a landslide??
BTW, you’re hot, but you like the Knicks? Ewwww.
Comment by D-Rock — July 16, 2008 #
D-Rock, are you going to claim you RNC/McCain points now for your post?
I second the last line. Go C’s!
Comment by bones — July 17, 2008 #